Philip H. Dybvig
Washington University in Saint Louis
March, 2005
This is a closed-book examination. Answer all questions as directed. Mark your answers directly on the examination. There are no trick questions on the exam. There are some formulas from the course (including some you will not need) at the end of the exam. All cash flows and interest rates are annual. Good luck!
A. General Concepts Short Anwer: 20 points (Answer each question in no more than two sentences of ordinary length.)
Today we can buy or sell a riskless claim paying $100 a year from now for $75. Or, we can buy a self-amortizing claim paying $100 one year out and $100 two years out for $140.
A pension liability consists of three cash flows: $625 million 5 years out, $800 million 10 years out, and $250 million 15 years out. The liability is funded by a single asset, a pure discount bond maturing in 10 years. The market value of the pension asset equals the market value of the liability, that is, the pension is fully funded in economic terms.
Assume that the interest rate starts at 4% and in each period and either increases by 2% or decreases by 2% (from 4% up to 6% or down to 2% would be the first move). The risk-neutral probabilities of ups and downs are all 1/2.